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Sugar yield estimate in ’13-14 revised from 250 lakh to 238 lakh tonne

The Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) recently revised the estimated sugar output during the 2013-14 season from 250 lakh to 238 lakh tonne, based on satellite images of the harvested and unharvested sugarcane and the area under sugarcane cultivation. 

Another factor taken into consideration was the heavy rainfall in parts of Uttar Pradesh, the availability of water in Maharashtra and Northern Karnataka and the insufficient quantity of water available in Tamil Nadu.

The association’s committee - which procured the satellite images at the beginning of 2014 - also took into account the trend of yields and sugar recovery, including the trend of diverting sugarcane for use by alternative sweeteners such as gur and khandsari.

It was estimated that Uttar Pradesh would produce 66 lakh tonne, while Maharashtra would produce 78 lakh tonne. Karnataka was expected to produce 35 lakh tonne, Tamil Nadu 15 lakh tonne, Gujarat 11.7 lakh tonne and Tamil Nadu 9.5 lakh tonne.

The sugar yields in Uttar Pradesh and Tamil Nadu have been showing a production trend of 11 lakh tonne and one lakh tonne lower than the respective estimates made by ISMA in September 2013.

The decline in Uttar Pradesh’s output has been attributed to the damage of sugarcane crops due to heavy rainfall in the eastern part of the state and the diversion of sugarcane by farmers to alternate sweetener producers.

This was done to make way for the sowing of wheat due to the late start of sugar mills.  Though the recovery percentage is good in the state, the yield is estimated to be lower than last year.

In Tamil Nadu, both the yield and the recovery percentage of sugar are lower than last year’s level, and accordingly, about four lakh tonne sugar lower is expected to be produced than last year’s level of sugar production (19.3 lakh tonne).

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